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Analyst Coverage: Almaden Minerals Ltd. (NYSE: AAU)
Summary:
Almaden Minerals Ltd. (NYSE: AAU) is an exploration stage company engaged in the acquisition, exploration, development of mineral properties in Canada, the U.S. and Mexico. The company owns 100% of the Tuligtic project in Puebla State, Mexico. Tuligtic covers the Ixtaca Gold-Silver Deposit, which was discovered by Almaden in 2010. The deposit is an epithermal gold-silver deposit, mostly hosted by veins in carbonate units and crosscutting dykes with a minor component of disseminated mineralization hosted in overlying volcanic rocks. The project is in a developed area of Mexico accessed by paved road and is roughly 20 kilometers from an industrial park with rail service. Almaden has secured an option to purchase the Rock Creek Mill which is a 7,000 tpd mill which was only operated from September 2008 to November 2008 before being put on care and maintenance. It will be dismantled and transported to Mexico for use on the Ixtaca project.
Almaden Minerals Ltd. has a current market capitalization of $71.9 million with 78.1 million shares outstanding. Its average daily trading volume is 124,718 shares.
Financial Highlights (2015 in C$):
Revenue: 303,403
Gross Profit: 303,403
Net Income: -1,144,525
Cash and Cash Equivalents: 6,222,778
Total Debt: –
Recent News and Analysis:
In February, the company reported partial assay results from the Ixtaca Zone exploration and development program which confirmed the continuity of the high grade core within the deposit. The company will continue with the engineering work and studies that are needed to develop the project.
In January, the company filed on SEDAR the independent NI 43-101 Preliminary Economic Assessment Update Technical Report for Ixtaca. The report showed a pre-tax NPV of $266 million and an internal rate of return of 39% based on an initial investment of $100.2 million with an assumed gold price of $1150/oz and silver at $16/oz. The analysis assumes a production rate of 724k ounces of gold and 49 million ounces of silver and an operating cost of $684 per ounce of gold and $9.50 per ounce of silver.
Conclusions:
Almaden appears attractively priced relative to peers on an enterprise value to recoverable gold equivalent ounce basis. As the company progresses toward developing the Ixtaca deposit, we would look for that discount to narrow which could lead to significant appreciation for investors. We think that the shares can trade to $2-$3/share if they are able to close this valuation gap.
Sources:
- http://www.almadenminerals.com/INVESTORS/Stock_info.html
- http://www.almadenminerals.com/NEWSROOM/2016/AlmadenNR_Feb22_16.pdf
- http://www.almadenminerals.com/NEWSROOM/2016/AlmadenNR_Jan22_16.pdf
- http://www.almadenminerals.com/INVESTORS/FINANCIALS/2015/2015_Q4-Almaden%20Form%2020-F.pdf
- http://www.almadenminerals.com/INVESTORS/DOCUMENTS/Almaden_Presentation.pdf
- http://www.almadenminerals.com/NEWSROOM/2015/AlmadenNR_Dec09-15.pdf
- https://finance.yahoo.com/q/pr?s=AAU+Profile
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