See feature article below: Gevo, Inc. (NASDAQ: GEVO)
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Report For: Gevo, Inc. (NASDAQ: GEVO)
Gevo, Inc. (Gevo), incorporated on June 9, 2005, is a renewable chemicals and next generation biofuels company. The Company has developed a technology that uses a combination of synthetic biology, metabolic engineering, chemistry and chemical engineering to focus primarily on the production of isobutanol, as well as related products from renewable feedstock. It has two operating segments: the Gevo, Inc. segment and the Gevo Development/Agri-Energy segment. Its Gevo, Inc. segment is responsible for research and development activities related to the future production of isobutanol, including the development of its biocatalysts, the production and sale of biojet fuel, its Retrofit process and the next generation of chemicals and biofuels that will be based on its isobutanol technology. Its Gevo, Inc. segment also develops, maintains and protects its intellectual property portfolio, develops future markets for its isobutanol and provides corporate oversight services. Its Gevo Development/Agri-Energy segment is responsible for the operation of its Agri-Energy Facility and the production of ethanol, isobutanol and related products.
The Company has developed the Gevo Integrated Fermentation Technology (GIFT), an integrated technology platform for the production and separation of renewable isobutanol in order to produce and sell isobutanol made from renewable sources. GIFT consists of two components: biocatalysts that convert sugars derived from multiple renewable feed stocks into isobutanol through fermentation and a separation unit that is designed to continuously separate isobutanol during the fermentation process. GIFT is designed to permit the retrofit of existing ethanol capacity to produce isobutanol, ethanol or both products simultaneously or the addition of renewable isobutanol or ethanol production capabilities to a facility’s existing ethanol production by adding additional fermentation capacity side-by-side with the facility’s existing ethanol fermentation capacity (collectively referred to as Retrofit). Just like ethanol production, after fermentation, a primary product (isobutanol) and a co-product (iDGs) are recovered for sale. The main modifications of the GIFT system are replacing the ethanol producing yeast with Gevo’s isobutanol producing biocatalyst, and adding low temperature distillation equipment for continuous removal and separation of isobutanol. The Company has also developed new technologies using ethanol as a feedstock for the production of hydrocarbons, renewable hydrogen, and other chemical intermediates, which it describes as its ethanol-to-olefins (ETO) technologies. The process produces tailored mixes of isobutylene, propylene, hydrogen and acetone, which are used as standalone molecules, or as feedstocks to produce other chemical products and longer chain alcohols. At this time, this technology has only been operated at a laboratory scale.
Gevo, Inc. has a current market capitalization of $55.53 M with 38.46 M outstanding shares. Its daily average volume traded is 5.58 M shares.
Key Indicators (Q1 2016) Performance (6 months)
Shares Outstanding 38.46 M
Revenue 6.32 M
Gross Profit -2.90 M
Net Income(Basic/Diluted) -3.60 M
Cash and Short-term Inv 8.67 M
Total Debt 38.34 M
Recent News and Analysis:
Shares of Gevo (GEVO) are soaring by 102.22% to $1.22 on heavy trading volume late Wednesday morning before closing up 59% at $0.96, after Alaska Air Group (ALK) flew two flights using the company’s renewable alcohol to jet fuel (ATJ) on Tuesday. The flights departed using a mixture of traditional jet fuel and a 20% biofuel blend made from fermented corn. They flew from Seattle to San Francisco International Airport and to Ronald Reagan Washington National Airport. The Seatac, WA-based airline estimates that the 20% biofuel blend will reduce greenhouse gas emissions by 50%, according to a statement. Compared to other fuel options, Gevo’s renewable ATJ could provide benefits to operating cost, capital cost, feedstock availability and scalability. “We believe our technology has the potential to be the lowest cost, renewable carbon-based jet fuel, given the efficacy of our technology,” Gevo CEO Pat Gruber said in a statement. “We look forward to moving forward with Alaska, and others in the airline industry, to make renewable jet fuel widely successful as a product that substitutes for fossil fuels, and ultimately helps to reduce carbon emissions.”
Shares of Gevo have entered overbought territory as the 14-day RSI reading touched 89.33 after yesterday’s close. Investors should be cautious of taking positions as this might indicate the stock is due to reverse course. RSI or Relative Strength Index is a momentum indicator that technical investors use along with other factors in trying to determine the short term direction of a stock. The RSI can help pinpoint stock reversals and help coordinate taking positions accordingly. The RSI takes the closing prices of a given stock over a 14-day period (typically) and calculates a ratio of the number of higher close days to the number of lower close days. With Gevo, Inc. (NASDAQ:GEVO) shares passing the 70 level, the stock is now considered to be in overbought territory and ripe for a potential pullback.
Conclusions:
In order to get a sense of Wall Street sentiment, we can look to brokerage analyst estimates. On a one to five ratings scale where 1.0 indicates a Strong Buy, 2.0 indicates a Buy, 3.0 a Hold, 4.0 a Sell and 5.0 a Strong Sell. Gevo, Inc. currently has an average analyst recommendation of 2.50 according to analysts. This is the average number based on the total brokerage firms taken into consideration by Beta Systems Research. The same analysts have a future one-year price target of $3.00 on the shares.
In addition to sell-side rational, we can also take a look at some technical indicators. The stock is currently 258.74% away from its 50-day simple moving average and 8.64% away from the 200 day average. Based on a recent trade, the shares are -75.46% away from the 52-week high and 386.36% from the 52-week low. In terms of financials, we can look at several key indicators. The company has a Return on Assets of -31.70%, which is a key factor in determining the effectiveness of management’s use of assets to generate earnings. The company currently has a Return on Equity of -62.80% and a Return on Investment of -35.20%. In terms of earnings per share, which is typically considered to be the most important variable in determining the value of a company, currently stands at -2.09 for the trailing 12-months or a 66.30% for the year. Analysts are expecting a change in EPS of 31.50% for the stock.
Source – Robert Borowski MSc.
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